If you haven’t questioned your investment advisor
with respect to his/her knowledge of ‘things economic’, and you believe that
current and prospective macro-economics are an important influence on the
equity and money markets, you might consider doing that. If this question
has for you created a ‘need to know’, here are 16 questions (with answers) you might consider
asking him/her:
·
what is the current U.S.
cumulative National Debt, and what was the U.S. cumulative National Debt at the
end of 2000? (answers, about U.S.$13 trillion and U.S.$6 trillion
respectively;
·
what is the current targeted U.S.
Federal Reserve inflation rate? (answer, 2%);
·
what is the current U.S. monthly
net trade deficit? (answer, it varies from month to month but currently runs
about U.S.$40 billion/month);
·
what is the current cumulative
U.S. net trade deficit? (answer, just under U.S.$8 trillion);
·
what % of the cumulative U.S. net
trade deficit has been accumulated after 1999? (answer, about 75% of it);
·
what % of U.S. manufacturing jobs
have been lost after 1999? (answer, about 40% depending upon how this is
measured);
·
what is the current U.S.
unemployment rate? (answer, the posted rate is 9.7%, but the estimated actual
rate is much higher at as much as 17%;
·
specifically in what economic sectors
is the U.S. going to be able to develop meaningful, long-term jobs that will
reduce its current unemployment rate back to what is thought of to be full
employment (being 4% - 5%);
·
how important is U.S. housing
market recovery to U.S. re-employment? (answer, very);
·
what does ‘structural
unemployment’ mean? (answer, ‘an economic environment where the skill sets of
the unemployed, and the skill sets required for the available jobs, are
significantly mismatched’);
·
does the U.S. currently suffer
from ‘structural unemployment’? (answer, debatable, but I think the
(complicated) answer is ‘yes’);
·
how do economists determine
whether an economy is ‘in recovery’ (answer, if a country’s GDP has increased in
percentage terms in the most recent quarter from the previous quarter –
sometimes in the context of 3 or 4 consecutive quarters);
·
is the current stock market more
an ‘investor’s market’, or more a ‘trader’s market (answer, debatable but
likely more a ‘trader’s market’);
·
on a scale of 1 – 10 as measured
against a partner in a public accounting firm, how well are you (the adviser) able
to read a company’s financial statements and accompanying notes? (answer, who
knows, but probably for most not at a level of 10);
·
should physical gold be viewed as
an ‘investment’? (answer, ‘no’);
·
if physical gold should not be
viewed as an ‘investment’, how should it be viewed? (answer, as a ‘safe haven’
purchasing power protectorate); and,
·
(if you don’t know the answer to
this one already) do you (the adviser) primarily do your own research on the
stocks, mutual funds or other investments you recommend, or do you primarily
rely on the analysis of others in your firm or otherwise?
I suggest that as a minimum you will learn quite a lot about your
investment advisor if you elect to ask him/or her some or all of these
questions. You will, of course,
also learn a great deal about your own current knowledge of some of the things
that (I believe) will influence the equity and bond markets going forward.