The following articles have been published
over the past 24 hours that I think worthwhile to bring to your
attention:
· 'World May Struggle to Make Up for Lost
Japanese Exports' - reading time 3 minutes. This
article suggests that it may not be easy for companies in other parts of
the world to make up for Japanese exports that will be
unavailable as a result of damaged plants, supply chain disruptions, and
rolling electrical blackouts arising from the Japanese earthquake -
this in circumstances where company inventories are low. The
article suggests this may affect, in particular, some electrical
components (semi-conductors) and some specialty metals, chemicals,
plastics and rubber;
· 'Japanese Politician Suggests Closing
Financial Markets For A Week' - reading time 1 minute. While
I think such a thing is unlikely to happen, I include it only because
it reflects a level of concern apparently expressed by the head of
Japan's Upper House yesterday, and it is the type of scenario painted by
some of what I think are the more extreme commentators on the type of
political decisions that may be made in circumstances of a major world
financial crisis should such a thing occur at some point;
· 'Japanese Fallout May Hit Treasuries'
- reading time 2 minutes. This article discusses the
issue I have raised more than once over the past few days (and again
below) with respect to the possibility of Japan, the third largest
holder of U.S. Treasuries after the U.S. Fed and China, having to sell
some of the U.S. Treasuries it holds to fund rehabilitation projects.
The article does not discuss the effect on the U.S. Treasury
market if Japan ceases to participate in that market. I
think it follows that the U.S. Treasury market will be something to
watch closely over the next few months. A second article
titled 'Debt Problem: Who In The World Is Going
To Buy The Billions Of Dollars Of Debt The U.S. Government Is
Constantly Pumping Out Now?' -
reading time 4 minutes - also addresses this issue. I
suggest you take the time to read and think about what this article
says;
· 'The End of Japan as an Industrial Power'
- reading time 2 minutes. This article highlights in a
chart the expected changes of the working age populations of China,
Germany, Japan, and the U.S. from 2010-2020 and from 2020-2030 where
working age is defined as 25-54. At first blush I
dismissed the title of the article, but after reading it and reviewing
the chart I think it provides some good 'food for thought'; and,
· 'Japan depends significantly on nuclear
power to meet its electricity needs' - reading time 2 minutes.
This article from the U.S. Energy Information Administration
sets out in a chart with accompanying narrative the percentages of
electricity generated in Japan by source, coal (28%), nuclear (27%), and
natural gas (27%) being the three largest.